Q1. In the context of the 1991 economic reforms in India, which of the following most accurately describes the role played by multilateral institutions like the IMF and the World Bank?
- (a) They provided unconditional aid to help India overcome its fiscal crisis.
- (b) They enforced a structural adjustment program as a precondition for emergency financial assistance.
- (c) They recommended protectionist trade policies and expansion of the public sector.
- (d) They assisted India in nationalizing critical sectors and reducing interest rates.
Answer & solution
Answer: (b) They enforced a structural adjustment program as a precondition for emergency financial assistance.
In 1991 India's foreign exchange had fallen to about two weeks of imports.
The IMF and the World Bank lent about US$7 billion, but on conditions — devaluation, fiscal discipline, delicensing, trade opening and disinvestment.
Those conditions became the New Economic Policy of Liberalisation, Privatisation and Globalisation (LPG); the aid was anything but unconditional.
Revision note — The 1991 crisis and the conditional bailout
• Causes: the Gulf War (1990–91) raised the oil bill and cut Gulf remittances; a large fiscal deficit and a heavy external debt had already weakened the economy.
• Reserves fell to roughly US$1 billion; India had to pledge about 67 tonnes of gold to the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan to raise emergency funds.
• Prime Minister P. V. Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Dr Manmohan Singh announced the reforms; the New Industrial Policy came on 24 July 1991.
• The rupee was devalued in two steps on 1 and 3 July 1991, by about 18–19 per cent against the dollar.
• Stabilisation measures (short term — fiscal and monetary tightening, devaluation) went with structural reforms (long term — delicensing, trade liberalisation, disinvestment, financial-sector reform).
• The Eighth Five-Year Plan (1992–97) was the first plan launched after structural adjustment began.
Do not mix these up
• IMF vs World Bank — the IMF gives short-term balance of payments support; the World Bank gives long-term development and structural lending. Both attached conditions in 1991.
• Stabilisation vs structural adjustment — stabilisation cures the immediate crisis (deficit, inflation, reserves); structural adjustment changes the rules of the economy (licences, tariffs, public sector).
Also asked from this topic: the institutions whose conditions triggered the 1991 reforms (IMF and World Bank); the reserves position in 1991 (two weeks of imports); the July 1991 devaluation (18–20%).